The One-Child Policy’s Effect on Chinese Fertility
For anyone who is curious about the impact of the One-Child Policy on the Total Fertility Rate in China, I present this graph:
China’s TFR was 2.74 when the policy started (in 1979), less than half of what it had been just 10 years prior to the launch.
To put things in perspective: From 1950 to 2000, China’s TFR fell from about 6.5 children per woman to about 1.8 children. 80% of that decline occurred before the One-Child Policy existed.
So, if anyone tells you that the One-Child Policy caused China’s birth rate to drop significantly, please politely let them know that the data says otherwise.